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INV-1103

Oakcut Joinery

$11,900 outstanding, 46 days past due.

Arrearly

Account statement

By Wiqi Lee

Statement for

INV-1103

Generated Aug 26, 2026

Billed to

Oakcut Joinery

Rhys Morgan

rhys@example.com

Summary

INV-1103 for Oakcut Joinery is 46 days past due with $11,900 outstanding and a risk score of 68. The risk is meaningful, and the agent is pressing on a sensible cadence. Oakcut Joinery usually pays 21 days late and has a reliability score of 62. So far the agent has made 3 decisions and sent 2 messages. If recovered, the fee would be $952.

Invoice detail

Invoice numberINV-1103
Statusoverdue
Invoiced$11,900
Paid so far$0
Balance$11,900
IssuedJun 11, 2026
DueJul 11, 2026
Age46 days past due
Risk score68 / 100
Commission rate8%
Fee if recovered$952

Customer

Reliability score62 / 100
Usually pays21 days late
Customer for14 months
Messages exchanged2 sent, 2 received

Decision history (3)

DateActionOutcomeConf.Risk
Aug 25, 2026NegotiateQueued for review6968
Aug 4, 2026PressSent, no human8561
Jul 16, 2026NudgeSent, no human8746

What every number here means

Risk score (0 to 100)

How likely a balance is to go unpaid without intervention. 0 to 29 is comfortable, 30 to 49 is worth watching, 50 to 69 is pressing, 70 to 84 is urgent, and 85 or above needs action now.

Reliability score (0 to 100)

How dependably a customer has paid before. 80 to 100 is strong, 60 to 79 is fair, 40 to 59 is shaky, and below 40 is poor. The agent opens warmer with reliable customers and firmer with the rest.

Confidence (0 to 100)

How sure the agent is that a decision is the right one. Below the autonomy threshold the message is drafted but held for a person rather than sent. Higher is surer.

Commission and fee

The commission rate is the agreed cut of whatever is recovered. The fee is that rate applied to this balance, so it is only earned if and when the invoice is actually paid.

Age and status

Age is days since the due date. Status moves from open to overdue, then to promised, partial, disputed, escalated, or paid as the account progresses.

PayPal transaction

Every payment settles through PayPal to the Heytugas.com account. Each row lists its date, the installment it covers, and the PayPal transaction id for reconciliation.

Generated by Arrearly, built by Wiqi Lee. This statement reflects INV-1103 for Oakcut Joinery as of Aug 26, 2026.

Agent

What should happen today?

NegotiateWaiting on a personvia whatsappyesterday

Forty-six days past due and climbing. A split offer is the next rung, but $11,900 against a customer with a 62 reliability score sits close to the review line.

Confidence
69
Risk
68
Next review
Aug 27, 2026
Decided in
1,744ms

Conversation

Everything said so far

RM

Rhys Morgan

Oakcut Joinery

WhatsApp
Peter, HeytugasHi Rhys - quick one, INV-1103 for $11,900 slipped past its due date on the 20th. Anything blocking it on your end?10:20 AM
Rhys MorganHi, yeah sorry. Big timber order tied up our cash this month. I'll sort it soon.5:12 PM
Peter, HeytugasRhys, INV-1103 is now 24 days past due at $11,900. I need a payment date from you this week. If the timber order has stretched things, say so and I'll put a plan together instead.10:40 AM
Rhys MorganHonestly a plan would help. Paying it all at once this month is tight.8:05 AM

Finance

Payments and prediction

Payment model?Payment modelA learned model that reads the account and estimates two things: the probability the balance is recovered, and how many days it will take. It runs locally on every view, and a heavier retrainable version runs in the Python service when connected. The bars show which features push the odds up (green) or down (red), so the number can always be taken apart.66-100%Likely to be paid (green)40-65%Uncertain, worth watching (amber)0-39%At risk without action (red)high confidence

Probability of payment

29%

Predicted time to pay

41d

What drives it

History-100%Usually pays 21 days late
Age-88%46 days past due
Engagement+43%Customer has replied
Relationship+30%14-month relationship
Balance-20%Large balance outstanding
Reliability+8%Pays with a reliability score of 62
Promise0%No promise on file

Green pushes toward payment, red away from it, and the percentage is each feature's pull relative to the strongest one. The agent folds this into its reasoning as one input, never an instruction.

History

Decisions on this invoice

Decisions board
NegotiateWaiting on a personINV-1103Oakcut Joineryyesterday

Forty-six days past due and climbing. A split offer is the next rung, but $11,900 against a customer with a 62 reliability score sits close to the review line.

Confidence69Risk68via whatsappgemini-2.5-flash · 1,744ms
PressSent · no humanINV-1103Oakcut Joinery22 days ago

The customer acknowledged the delay but named no date. Naming the figure and inviting a plan gives two easy exits and makes another vague reply the harder option.

Confidence85Risk61via whatsappgemini-2.5-flash · 1,517ms
NudgeSent · no humanINV-1103Oakcut Joinery1 month ago

Fourteen months of history and an average of 21 days late. This customer pays, slowly. Opening warm costs nothing and keeps the door open.

Confidence87Risk46via whatsappgemini-2.5-flash · 1,205ms
INV-1103Overdue
Balance
$11,900
Invoiced
$11,900
Paid so far
$0
Issued
Jun 11, 2026
Due
Jul 11, 2026
Age
46 days past due
Our commission
8%
Fee if recovered
$952
Risk ?Risk scoreA 0-100 estimate of the chance this balance is never recovered if left alone. It blends how far past due the invoice is, how reliably the customer has paid before, how large the balance is, and how long the relationship has lasted.0-29Comfortable30-49Worth watching50-69Pressing70-84Urgent85-100Act now
68
Messages sent
2
Last contact
21 days ago
Next review
Aug 27, 2026

Customer

Oakcut Joinery

Rhys Morgan

rhys@example.com

Reliability ?Reliability scoreA 0-100 record of this customer's own payment history with you. The agent leans on this to decide how warm or how firm to open.80-100Strong, pays close to on time60-79Fair, a nudge usually does it40-59Shaky, takes a few rounds0-39Poor, expect to work for it
62
Usually pays
21 days late
Customer for
14 months
INV-1103 · Oakcut Joinery · Arrearly